Euro Broadly Pressured after a Volatile Week, USD/JPY Heading Back to 80

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Action Insight Weekly Report Markets Snapshot

Euro Broadly Pressured after a Volatile Week, USD/JPY Heading Back to 80

It's been an extremely volatile week with lots of headlines flying around but three developments should be paid more attention to. Firstly, Euro was broadly weak in spite of ECB's rate hike and the signal of maintaining tightening bias. Even though the Greece situation was temporarily resolved, worries on contagion has indeed intensified. Secondly, the sharp reversal in US treasury yields took yen crosses broadly lower on and could be setting the stage for more upside in the Japanese yen ahead. Thirdly, even though the job data from US was deeply disappointing, selloff in risk was relatively brief and shallow. There is no confirmation of reversal in risk sentiments and dollar remains vulnerable to more selling ahead.

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Featured Technical Report

USD/JPY Weekly Outlook

USD/JPY edged higher to 81.46 last week but subsequent reversal and break of 80.76 minor support suggests that choppy recovery from 79.69 has completed already. Initial bias remains on the downside this week and break of 80.25 minor support will affirm the case that fall from 82.21 is resuming. Further break of 79.56/69 support zone will also confirm resumption of whole fall from 85.51 and should target 61.8% projection of 85.51 to 79.56 from 82.22 at 78.54 next. On the upside, break of 81.46 is needed to invalidate hits view or we'll stay cautiously bearish.

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