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Daily Report: Risk Appetite Recedes Mildly after China Data, Euro Firm

Risk appetites cool a bit today after disappointing China PMI data. Both the official manufacturing PMI and the one complied by HSBC indicated the country's manufacturing sector has slowed down in June. The China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing reported the index fell to 50.9, the lowest level since February 2009, in June from 52 in May. Meanwhile, the HSBC PMI data dropped to a 11-month low of 50.1 in June. Aussie pared some of recent gains against the greenback after the data on the country's strong tie to China. But loss is so far limited as dollar remains broadly weak.

Full Report Here...


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Featured Technical Report

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 116.23; (P) 116.72; (R1) 117.31; More

EUR/JPY's rebound extends further to as high as 117.29 so far and intraday bias remains on the upside for 117.88 resistance. As noted before break of 117.88 will complete a double bottom reversal pattern and should turn outlook bullish for a retest on 123.31 resistance next. On the downside, though, below 115.12 will flip bias back to the downside and break of 113.41/49 support will will resume the decline from 123.31 instead.

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Economic Indicators Update

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
23:30 JPY Household Spending Y/Y May -1.90% -1.70% -3.00%
23:30 JPY Unemployment Rate May 4.50% 4.80% 4.70%
23:30 JPY Tokyo Core CPI Y/Y Jun 0.10% 0.20% 0.10%
23:30 JPY National Core CPI Y/Y May 0.60% 0.50% 0.60%
23:50 JPY Tankan Large Manufacturers Index Q2 -9 -7 6
23:50 JPY Tankan Non-Manufacturing Index Q2 -5 -4 3
1:00 CNY PMI Manufacturing Jun 50.9 51.5 52
7:30 CHF SVME-PMI Jun
57.8 59.2
8:00 EUR Eurozone PMI Manufacturing Jun F
52 52
8:30 GBP PMI Manufacturing Jun
52.3 52.1
9:00 EUR Eurozone Unemployment Rate May
9.90% 9.90%
13:55 USD U. of Michigan Confidence Jun F
72 71.8
14:00 USD Construction Spending M/M May
0.00% 0.40%
14:00 USD ISM Manufacturing Jun
51.5 53.5
14:00 USD ISM Prices Paid Jun
72 76.5
Forex Trade Ideas

Next Candlesticks and Ichimoku Trade Idea update will be made on Monday 4 July.

Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1330 - 1400

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