Underlying Trends in Volatile Markets, Strength in CHF, AUD, NZD and JPY

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Action Insight Weekly Report Markets Snapshot

Underlying Trends in Volatile Markets, Strength in CHF, AUD, NZD and JPY

We had a lot of noises in the markets recently. The US debt ceiling debate remained a major focus as the drama dragged on before the August 2 deadline. Moody's warned earlier in the month of a possible US downgrade. But the rating agency said in a statement on Friday that the triple A rating would likely be kept if the government could continue to pay bond-holders even if a deal can't be reached by the deadline. The Greece situation seems to be solved by markets' focus turned to Spain now as Moody's warned of a Spain downgrade. IMF also said in a report that outlook in Spain is "difficult" with risks "elevated" and the country is still in "danger zone". These noises triggered much volatilities in the markets but under these volatilities, there are trends.

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Featured Technical Report

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF's down trend extended further last week and made new record low at 0.7848. Initial bias remains on the downside this week for medium term projection level at 0.7797. Break will target 161.8% projection of 0.8519 to 0.8081 from 0.8277 at 0.7568 in near term. On the upside, above 0.7918 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations. But recovery should be limited below 0.8081 support turned resistance and bring down trend resumption.

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