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Mid-Day Report: Sterling Tumbles on Poor Production Data, Canadian Dollar Mildly Higher on JobsSterling drops sharply earlier today after poor economic data. Industrial production unexpectedly dropped -1.7% mom, -1.2% yoy in April while manufacturing production dropped -1.5% mom, rose 1.3% yoy. Both were sharply below market consensus. PPI input slowed more than expected to 15.7% yoy, PPI output and core were unchanged at 5.3% yoy and 3.4% yoy respectively. Markets are now speculating that BoE won't move before November and more weak economic data will only push the first hike further later. | |
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GBP/USD Mid-Day OutlookDaily Pivots: (S1) 1.6327; (P) 1.6397; (R1) 1.6435; More. As noted before, GBP/USD's fall from 1.6546 resumed today and intraday bias remains on the downside for a 1.6058 support. Sustained break there will indicate that whole fall from 1.6744 has resumed too and should target 1.5343 key support next. On the upside, break of 1.6470 resistance is needed to confirm near term reversal. Otherwise, we'll now stay cautiously bearish in the pair. |
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ECB Mentioned Strong Vigilance on Inflation, Rate Hike in July LikelyThe June ECB meeting had mixed impacts on euro's movement. While the use of 'strong vigilance' signaled a rate hike next month, mild revisions growth forecast disappointed investors. Concerning sovereign debt problems in Greece, Trichet said the central bank is 'not in favor of restructuring, haircuts and so forth'. |
Economic Indicators Update | The Traders Expo provides a chance to take a productive step back from the trading screen and look at the overall markets from a broader perspective. Join your fellow traders at The Traders Expo Dallas and experience it for yourself. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Trade Idea Update: GBP/USD – Buy at 1.6250Despite intra-day selloff to 1.6215, as cable has rebounded after holding above indicated previous resistance at 1.6210 and a hammer candlestick with a long lower shadow has been formed on the hourly chart, consolidation with mild upside bias is seen for retracement of this week's selloff to the Kijun-Sen (now at 1.6328), then test of previous support at 1.6358 but only break of intra-day resistance at 1.6384 would confirm low has been formed. Trade Idea: EUR/JPY – Hold long entered at 115.85The single currency has fallen again today on risk aversion and minor support at 115.21 needs to hold to retain bullishness for another rebound, above intra-day resistance at 116.88 would suggest retreat from 117.90 has ended and bring test of yesterday's high of 117.46. Looking ahead, only a break of said resistance at 117.90 would encourage for the rise from 113.41 to extend gain to 118.60/65 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 121.84-113.41) Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT): Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT): | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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