Action Insight Mid-Day Report 4-20-11

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Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Mid-Day Report: Risk Appetite Rebounds on Soaring Equities, Solid Spanish Bond Auction

Risk appetite stages a strong comeback today as boosted by solid US corporate earnings and raised forecasts from Intel. European indices are generally high while US index futures also point to strong open. Australian dollar rides on risk seeking sentiments and makes new record high against dollar while Canadian dollar on soars on strength in crude oil. Euro is lifted by solid Spanish bond auction and makes new 2011 high against dollar.

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Featured Technical Report

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8959; (P) 0.8983; (R1) 0.9021; More.

USD/CHF's break of 0.8895 support indicates that recent decline has resumed. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 61.8% projection of 0.9774 to 0.8921 from 0.9339 at 0.8812 next. On the upside, above 0.9006 resistance will bring another recovery. But upside should be limited by near term falling trend line (now at 0.9176) and bring down trend resumption.

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Special Reports

BOE Monetary Stance Unchanged, May Tightening Unlikely

The April BOE minutes unveiled that 3 members voted for a rate hike while the rest favored leaving the Bank rate unchanged as it's yet to confirm whether the slowdown in growth had been temporary. One member, while voting for maintenance of interest rates, preferred to increase the size of the asset-purchase program by +50B pound. On net, the minutes remained dovish and the central bank will probably leave the policy rate unchanged at 0.5% until 3Q11.

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Economic Indicators Update

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
23:50 JPY Trade Balance (JPY) Mar 0.10T 0.33T 0.56T 0.48T
23:50 JPY Tertiary Industry Activity M/M 0.80% 0.20% 2.10% -0.10%
00:30 AUD Westpac Leading Index M/M Feb 0.40% -0.10% 0.30%
01:30 AUD Import Price Index Q/Q Q1 1.40% 0.60% -3.80%
06:00 EUR German PPI M/M Mar 0.40% 0.80% 0.70%
06:00 EUR German PPI Y/Y Mar 6.20% 6.60% 6.40%
08:30 GBP BoE Minutes 3--0--6 3--0--6 3--0--6
14:00 USD Existing Home Sales Mar 5.10% 5.00M 4.88M 4.92M
14:30 USD Crude Oil Inventories -2.3M 0.7M 1.6M
Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea Update: EUR/USD – Buy at 1.4420

Euro's breach of recent high at 1.4521 confirms our view that medium term uptrend has resumed and indicated projection target at 1.4540/45 (50% projection of 1.3752-1.4521 measuring from 1.4156) has been met, bullishness remains for further gain towards 1.4590/00, however, near term overbought condition should limit upside and reckon 1.4640/50 would hold from here, bring correction later.

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Trade Idea: USD/CAD – Sell at 0.9600

Despite intra-day fall to 0.9498, as the greenback has recovered, suggesting consolidation above this level would take place and retracement to 0.9580/85 is likely, however, renewed selling interest should emerge around 0.9600 and bring another decline later. A break of said support would extend recent downtrend in wave 3 to 0.9450, however, as this move is viewed as the final leg of 3 reckon downside would be limited to 0.9400

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Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1330 - 1400

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights


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