Action Insight Mid-Day Report 3-3-11

ActionForex.com

Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Mid-Day Report: Euro Soars on "Vigilant" Trichet, ECB Raised Inflation Projections

Euro soars and is heading towards 1.4 psychological level against dollar after Trichet more than satisfies the market by delivering some hawkish messages. Most importantly, the magical word "vigilance" is mentioned in today's press conference and the word has been used to signal rate hike in the following meetings in the past. Trichet said that "strong vigilance is warranted with a view to containing upside risks to price stability." While April hike is certainly not a done deal, the word does suggest that ECB is moving very close to tightening cycle. ECB left rates unchanged at 1.00% today and also updated staff projections. GDP is seen in range of 1.3-2.1% in 2011 and 0.8-2.8% in 2012. HICP inflation is seen to be 2.0-2.6% in 2011 and 1-2.4% in 2012. The inflation projection has shifted upwards "due to the considerable rise in energy and food prices".

Full Report Here...


jpyvol.png
nzdusdpiv.png

Featured Technical Report

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3775; (P) 1.3832 (R1) 1.3922; More.

EUR/USD's rally extends further to as high as 1.3972 in early US session and intraday bias remains on the upside for 61.8% projection of 1.2873 to 1.3860 from 1.3427 at 1.4037. Break there will extend the whole rise from 1.2873 towards 1.4281 key resistance next. On the downside, below 1.3832 minor support will dampen this view and turn bias back to the downside. Nevertheless, near term outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.3427 support holds.

Read more...

conomic Indicators Update

Learn Expert Strategies for Pulling Profits from the Markets. The London Traders Expo on April 8-9, 2011 at the Queen Elizabeth II Conference Centre. Visit The London Traders Expo online to register FREE.


GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
23:50 JPY Capital Spending Q4 3.80% 5.90% 5.00%
00:30 AUD Building Approvals M/M Jan -15.90% -3.10% 8.70% 10.00%
00:30 AUD Trade Balance (AUD) Jan 1.88B 1.56B 1.98B 2.02B
08:15 CHF Retail Sales (Real) Y/Y Jan -2.60% 1.70% -0.40% -0.80%
08:55 EUR German PMI Services Feb F 58.6 59.5 59.5
09:00 EUR Eurozone PMI Services Feb F 56.8 57.2 57.2
09:30 GBP PMI Services Feb 52.6 54 54.5
10:00 EUR Eurozone GDP Q/Q Q4 P 0.30% 0.30% 0.30%
10:00 EUR Eurozone GDP Y/Y Q4 P 2.00% 2.00% 2.00%
10:00 EUR Eurozone Retail Sales M/M Jan 0.40% 0.30% -0.60% -0.40%
10:00 EUR Eurozone Retail Sales Y/Y Jan 0.70% 0.00% -0.80% -0.40%
12:45 EUR ECB Rate Decision 1.00% 1.00% 1.00%
13:30 EUR ECB Press Conference
-- --
13:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims 368K 390K 391K
13:30 USD Unit Labor Costs Q4 F -0.60% -0.60% -0.60%
13:30 USD Non-Farm Productivity Q4 F 2.60% 2.60% 2.60%
15:00 USD ISM Non-Manufacturing Composite Feb
59.7 59.4
15:30 USD Natural Gas Storage
-89B -81B
Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea Update: USD/CHF – Hold short entered at 0.9250

Dollar's intra-day rebound to 0.9274 suggests caution on our short position entered at 0.9250 and indicated minor resistance at 0.9282/85 needs to hold to retain bearishness for recent decline to resume after consolidation and a break of yesterday's low at 0.9202 would extend further weakness to indicated downside target at 0.9182 (100% projection of 0.9739-0.9415 measuring from 0.9506) and possibly 0.9150

Read more...

Trade Idea: USD/CAD – Sell at 0.9890

As the greenback has remained sidelined after falling to 0.9684 earlier this week, suggesting further consolidation above this level would take place and above yesterday's high at 0.9777 would bring retracement to 0.9830/40 but renewed selling interest should emerge below 0.9902 and bring another decline later. A break of said support at 0.9684 would signal recent decline has resumed and extend weakness to 0.9650

Read more...

Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1330 - 1400

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights


No comments:

Post a Comment