Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas

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Mid-Day Report: Euro Firm on Greece Optimism

Euro remains firm in early US session as markets are optimistic that Greece situation is getting closer to resolution. IMF representative in Greece, Bob Traa, hinted that IMF is open to solutions other than debt restructuring. He said that "Stretching out payment terms, for instance in loans from euro area partners and the IMF, is a reasonable thing to think about because we have amortization right at the end of the program. This is a technical issue we can think about." And he said there should be a summit in June where " some hard nuts need to be cracked."

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Featured Technical Report

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4536; (P) 1.4597 (R1) 1.4637; More.

EUR/USD rises further to as high as 1.4681 so far today and intraday bias remains on the upside for 1.4938 resistance first. Break will confirm up trend resumption for 1.5143 resistance next. On the downside, below 1.4557 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations. But downside should be contained above 1.4307 and bring rally resumption.

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Featured Technical Report

RBA Leaves Rates Unchanged, Statement Less Hawkish

The RBA left the cash rate unchanged at 4.75%. While the decision had been widely anticipated, the Australian dollar fell as the accompanying statement appeared to be more dovish than previous ones. Policymakers pointed out that employment growth moderated and investment intentions eased in past months. The July meeting will also be a 'non-event' in the sense that the policy rate will stay the same. However, we may see some changes of wordings in the statement signaling a rate hike in August.

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Economic Indicators Update

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
23:01 GBP BRC Retail Sales Monitor Y/Y May -2.10% 2.00% 5.20%
4:30 AUD RBA Rate Decision 4.75% 4.75% 4.75%
5:00 JPY Leading Index Apr P 96.4 96.5 100.1
7:15 CHF CPI M/M May 0.00% -0.10% 0.10%
7:15 CHF CPI Y/Y May 0.40% 0.30% 0.30%
9:00 EUR Eurozone Retail Sales M/M Apr 0.90% 0.30% -0.90%
9:00 EUR Eurozone Retail Sales Y/Y Apr 1.10% 0.00% -1.70%
10:00 EUR German Factory Orders M/M Apr 2.80% 2.00% -4.00% -2.70%
19:45 USD Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks



Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea Update: GBP/USD – Buy again at 1.6375

Despite intra-day anticipated rally from 1.6324 to 1.6474, as cable has retreated from there, suggesting minor consolidation below this resistance would be seen and pullback to the Kijun-Sen (now at 1.6399) cannot be ruled out, however, renewed buying interest should emerge around the Ichimoku cloud bottom (now at 1.6374) and bring another rise. A break of 1.6474 would encourage for a test of previous resistance at 1.6496

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Trade Idea: EUR/GBP – Buy at 0.8830

Despite intra-day marginal rise to 0.8945, lack of follow through buying and current retreat suggest consolidation would take place and pullback to 0.8850/60 is likely, however, renewed buying interest should emerge around 0.8830 and bring another rise later. A break of said resistance would extend gain to 0.8985/90 but break there is needed to add credence to our view that retreat from 0.9043 has ended, bring subsequent headway towards this resistance later.

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Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1330 - 1400

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights


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