Euro Tumbled on Greece Downgrade, EUR/CHF to Make New Record Low

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Euro Tumbled on Greece Downgrade, EUR/CHF to Make New Record Low

Euro attempted a recovery last week as the drama on Greece continued. There were talks of "reprofiling" or "soft restructuring" of Greece debt as well ECB's opposition to such an idea. However, the common currency failed to sustain gain and was sold off sharply on Friday on fresh downgrade in sovereign debt ratings. Fitch downgraded Greece's rating by three notches from BB+ to B+, four notches below investment grade. Fitch warned that any move to extend the maturities of Greece bonds is considered a "default event" while the current B+ ratings incorporates expectations that "substantial new money" will be provided to Greece by the EU and IMF. Besides, Norway, Iceland and Liechtenstein froze payment of altogether 235m kroner of European Economic Area grants to Greece as it's "unclear whether the money already transferred to the Greek authorities was forwarded to the appropriate recipients."

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Featured Technical Report

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF dropped to as low as 1.2403 last week and is set to take on 1.2401 all time low. Initial bias remains on the downside this week. Break of 1.2401 will confirm resumption of medium term down trend and should target 1.2 psychological level next. On the upside, break of 1.2644 resistance is needed to signal short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of recovery.

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