Dollar Broadly Lower, Swiss Makes Record Highs

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Daily Report: Dollar Broadly Lower, Swiss Makes Record Highs

The economic data triggered selloff in dollar extends further today, sending the greenback broadly lower. Overnight comments from EU Juncker triggered brief pull back in EUR/USD but that was quickly overshadowed by weakness in the greenback. Drop in treasury yield is also seen as another factor weighing on the dollar as 10 year yield drops to a six-month low over night. Swiss franc jumped to new record high against dollar and euro as IMF urged SNB to raise rates. Meanwhile, Kiwi extends recent rally to a three year high, taking the Aussie higher too.

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Featured Technical Report

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0553; (P) 1.0601; (R1) 1.0692; More

The break of 1.0710 resistance suggests that AUD/USD's correction from 1.1010 has likely completed at 1.0440 already, ahead of 50% retracement of 0.9704 to 1.1010 at 1.0357. Intraday bias is back on the upside and further rise should now be seen to retest 1.1010 high first. Break will confirm up trend resumption and should target 61.8% projection of 0.9704 to 1.1010 from 1.0440 at 1.1247 next. On the downside, break of 1.0440 is needed to invalidate this view. Otherwise, outlook will now remain cautiously bullish even in case of retreat.

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Economic Indicators Update

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
23:01 GBP GfK Consumer Sentiment May -21 -31 -31
23:30 JPY Tokyo CPI Core Y/Y May 0.10% 0.20% 0.20%
23:30 JPY National CPI Core Y/Y Apr 0.60% 0.60% -0.10%
23:50 JPY Retail Sales Y/Y Apr -4.80% -6.20% -8.30%
8:00 EUR Eurozone M3 Y/Y Apr
2.40% 2.30%
9:00 EUR Eurozone Economic Confidence May
105.7 106.2
9:00 EUR Eurozone Consumer Confidence May
-10 -10
9:00 EUR Eurozone Industrial Confidence May
5.3 5.8
9:00 EUR Eurozone Services Confidence May
10 10.4
9:30 CHF KOF Leading Indicator May
2.22 2.29
12:30 USD Personal Income Apr
0.40% 0.50%
12:30 USD Personal Spending Apr
0.50% 0.60%
12:30 USD PCE Core M/M Apr
0.20% 0.10%
12:30 USD PCE Core Y/Y Apr
1.00% 0.90%
12:30 USD PCE Deflator Y/Y Apr

1.80%
13:55 USD U. of Michigan Confidence May F
72.4 72.4
14:00 USD Pending Home Sales M/M Apr
-1.00% 5.10%

EUR German CPI M/M May P
0.00% 0.20%

EUR German CPI Y/Y May P
2.30% 2.40%
Forex Trade Ideas

Next Trade Idea update will be made on Monday 30 May

Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1330 - 1400

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Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights



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