USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

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Sentiments Stabilized by Remain Vulnerable

Risk selloff eases into US session with major European indices paring much of earlier losses. Gold also retreats after making new record of 1881.4while Dollar is broadly soft. Sentiments are lifted mildly by comments from Olli Rehn, the European Union commissioner for economic and monetary affair. Rehn said that EU may present a report to European Parliament and the Council on the setup of a "system of common issuance of European sovereign bonds" under joint and several liability". Also, market worries also ease a bit as two biggest Swiss banks UBS and Credit Suisse denied making use of the Fed's swap facility through the SNB. However, some fresh selling in equities is seen in early US session which might turn sentiments sour again.

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Featured Technical Report

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 76.44; (P) 76.58; (R1) 76.71; More.

USD/JPY dips mildly today and is pressing 76.28 support. Break there will confirm resumption of the whole fall from 85.51 and 100% projection of 81.46 to 76.28 from 80.23 at 75.05 next. On the upside, above 76.96 minor resistance will flip bias back to the upside and bring stronger recovery. But we'll stay cautiously bearish as long as 80.23 resistance holds and expect an eventual downside breakout.

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
4:30 JPY All Industry Activity Index M/M Jun 2.30% 2.20% 2.00%
6:00 EUR German PPI M/M Jul 0.70% 0.10% 0.10%
6:00 EUR German PPI Y/Y Jul 5.80% 5.30% 5.60%
8:30 GBP Public Sector Net Borrowing (GBP) Jul -2.0B 0.2B 12.0B 12.4B
11:00 CAD CPI M/M Jul 0.20% 0.20% -0.70%
11:00 CAD CPI Y/Y Jul 2.70% 2.80% 3.10%
11:00 CAD BoC CPI Core M/M Jul 0.20% 0.20% -0.60%
11:00 CAD BoC CPI Core Y/Y Jul 1.60% 1.60% 1.30%
Forex Trade Ideas

Remark: Next Candlesticks and Ichimoku Trade Idea update will be made on Monday 22 Aug.

Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

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