US yields edged higher overnight


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Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Dollar Consolidates in Quite Markets

Markets are rather quite this week so far. Dollar seemed to have formed a temporary top against other major currencies and some consolidations would probably be seen. While US yields edged higher overnight, USD/JPY stayed in sideway trading below yesterday's high of 102.04. EUR/USD is back above 1.3 handle for the moment. In other markets, gold is consolidating around 1430/40 level while crude oil hovers around 95. Asian equities are mixed after DOW closed mildly down -0.18%. German ZEW is the main focus today but would probably trigger little reactions.
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Featured Technical Report

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 101.50; (P) 101.82; (R1) 102.13; More...
With 4 hours MACD crossed below signal line, a temporary top in 102.14 and intraday bias is turned neutral for some consolidations. Downside of retreat should be contained above 99.45 support and bring another rally. Above 102.14 will extend recent up trend to 161.8% projection of 77.13 to 96.70 from 92.56 at 104.65 next.
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Economic Indicators Update

GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
22:45 NZD Retail Sales Ex Inflation Q/Q Q1 0.50% 0.80% 2.10% 1.90%
23:01 GBP RICS House Price Balance Apr 1% 2% -1% -2%
23:50 JPY Domestic CGPI Y/Y Apr 0.00% -0.20% -0.50%
23:50 JPY Loans & Discounts Corp Y/Y Mar 1.47% 1.40%
6:00 EUR German CPI M/M Apr F -0.50% -0.50%
6:00 EUR German CPI Y/Y Apr F 1.20% 1.20%
6:00 JPY Machine Tool Orders Y/Y Apr P -21.50%
9:00 EUR Eurozone Industrial Production M/M Mar 0.50% 0.40%
9:00 EUR German ZEW (Economic Sentiment) May 40 36.3
9:00 EUR German ZEW (Current Situation) May 9.8 9.2
9:00 EUR Eurozone ZEW (Economic Sentiment) May 27.3 24.9
12:30 USD Import Price Index M/M Apr -0.50% -0.50%
23:50 JPY Tertiary Industry Index M/M Mar -0.70% 1.10%
Orders and Options Watch

US Session: Orders and Options Watch

EUR: Although the single currency dropped in New York opening shortly after the release of stronger-than-expected U.S. retail sales data, demand from Asian sovereign names emerged again and brought the pair back to where it was pre-data, bids from same parties remain at 1.2945-50 and also is still seen at 1.2925-35 (stops below), more stops are expected below 1.2900 (some bids above), some buy orders are scattered around 1.2875-80 and further out at 1.2850. On the upside, offers in good size remain at 1.2995-1.3000 and also at 1.3020, more sell orders from various parties are located at 1.3040-50 (option related) and further out at 1.3080-1.3100, followed by combination of offers and stops at 1.3120-30.
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Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea Wrap-up: GBP/USD - Sell at 1.5385

As the British pound has fallen again after meeting renewed selling interest at 1.5385, suggesting the decline from 1.5607 top is still in progress and may extend further weakness to 1.5253-55 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement of intermediate rise from 1.5034-1.5607), then towards 1.5220 (50% Fibonacci retracement of entire rise from 1.4832-1.5607), however, near term oversold condition should prevent sharp fall below 1.5190-5200 and risk from there is seen for a rebound later.
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Trade Idea: USD/CAD - Hold long entered at 1.0100

Despite last week's fall to 1.0014, the subsequent strong rebound to 1.0152 low is possibly formed at 1.0014 and consolidation with mild upside bias remains for further gain to 1.0200 but break of 1.0210-15 is needed to retain bullishness and bring a stronger rebound towards resistance at 1.0295. Looking ahead, the greenback needs to penetrate this key resistance to signal the correction from 1.0343 has indeed ended at 1.0014 and bring an eventual retest of this recent high, above there would confirm early upmove has resumed for headway to 1.0390-00.
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Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF
Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500
Suggested Readings
Fundamental Highlights
Technical Highlights

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