Italy January manufacturing PMI 46.8




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Posted:
Some decent offers slowing down this rally now but  buy stops just tweaked as we broke the level to a high of 100.06. There are more offers  up at 100.15/25 and 100.40/50
Posted:
LONDON (MNI) – The UK manufacturing sector saw a sharp pick-up in activity in January, expanding at its fastest pace since last May. The headline Markit/Chartered Institute of Purchasing and Supply index from Reuters came in at 52.1, well above analysts’ median forecast for a 49.8 outturn, and up from a revised from 49.7 in [...]
Posted:
There was some earlier buying from  model accounts , but it’s failed to stop the rot as USD falls to 76.04 Talk of semi-official (Kampo) bids resting at 76.00, which should hold things up for now , but bounces are rather “dead-cat” at the moment. below here is some tech support at 75.85/90
Posted:
– Survey Conducted Before And After E489 billion 3-year Loan Injection – ECB’s Three-year Loans May Yet Have A Positive Impact FRANKFURT (MNI) – Eurozone banks expect to continue tightening conditions on loans this quarter, but they may do so less aggressively than in 4Q, perhaps reflecting the tonic effect of the European Central Bank’s [...]
Posted:
We’ve been up to 0.8313 and its scuppering the cable buyers targeting the barrier for now EUR’s at  0.8311 and Cable’s holding around 1.5785 again EUR/GBP support at 0.8380/85 with initial tech resistance up around 0.8345
Posted:
Much better than forecast and highest since May last year. GBP/USD got a lift to a day’s high of   1.5787, but barrier protection offers are weighing now
Posted:
But running into offers above 1.5780 with likely larger offers ahead of the barrier. Talk of buy stops up through 1.5810/15. Tech suppport  lies at 1.5710/15, ahead of major/key support at 1.5650/55 We’re presently sitting at 1.5775
Posted:
– Survey Conducted Before And After E489 billion 3-year Loan Injection – ECB’s Three-year Loans May Yet Have A Positive Impact FRANKFURT (MNI) – Eurozone banks expect to continue tightening conditions on loans this quarter, but they may do so less aggressively than in 4Q, perhaps reflecting the tonic effect of the European Central Bank’s [...]
Posted:
BOLLOX!!!!!! I’m with Annie, I’ve had my fill of this happy horseshit….. EUR/USD through first cluster of sell orders aforementioned at 1.3085/95.   Next lot mentioned 1.3110/20. Both lot’s including real money interest apparently. UPDATE:  Meanwhile IMF official says Troika talks to conclude “very soon”   “Soon” seems real in vogue word this morning. Soon I’m gonna disappear [...]
Posted:
FRANKFURT (MNI) – The following is the verbatim text of the additional ad hoc questions from the European Central Bank’s latest Bank Lending Survey, published on Wednesday: The January 2012 BLS round included three additional ad hoc questions. The replies to these are summarised below: - Regarding bank access to market funding, euro area banks [...]
Posted:
Been told they were seen down in the 1.0620′s recently. Offers are sitting in the 1.0640/50 zone ahead of some more up at 1.0675/85. 1.0700 holds a barrier and option related protection offers are seen ahead of it.  We’re sitting just off the recent day’s high of 1.0648.
Posted:
Up from 48.4 in December and fractionally better than flash read of 50.9. European stocks seeing accelerated gains, DAX up 1.3%, CAC 40 up 1.5%. EUR/USD has extended rally to 1.3090.
Posted:
Up from 44.3 in December and better than Reuter’s median forecast of 45.0, highest read since September. EUR/USD up at 1.3073.  Getting reports sell orders now clustered 1.3085/95 and more up at 1.3110/20. Buy stops? I got nada, jack, bugger all Meanwhile,  French January final manufacturing PMI has come in at 48.5, unchanged from flash [...]
Posted:
Italy/German 10 year bond yield spread has narrowed to 398 bps from the 416 bps I jotted down first thing. Spain/German 10 year bond yield spread has narrowed to 309 bps from early 318 bps. France/German 10 year bond yield spread has narrowed to 121 bps from early 126 bps (I guess it’s OK to [...]
Posted:
UGHHHHHH!!! Some way lower than Reuter’s median forecast of 51.4.
Posted:
Down from +1.8%  in November.
Posted:
Cable at 1.5735 from session low 1.5708 (EBS), USD/CAD down at 1.0025 from session high 1.0048. I haven’t gotten reports, but if they’re selling dollars in those two pairings then they’re most probably selling them versus the euro as well. EUR/USD meanwhile has extended recovery a little further to 1.3063 at writing. Just another choppy day in paradise
Posted:
LONDON ((MNI) – The Bank Of England said Wednesday it was offering an unlimited supply of U.S. dollars in both 84-day and 7-day operations. The settlement date on the 7-day op was Feb 02 maturing Feb 9 2012. The Bank said the repo would be at a fixed-rate, with the rate to be set at [...]
Posted:
Up from 43.7 in December and above median forecast of 44.5. Thank heavens for small mercies.
Posted:
Portugal auctions 3 and 6 month paper this morning. Indicative amount 1.25-1.5 bln. Results soon after 10:30 GMT  (as far as I can make out)

Dollar Index Rebound as Risk Markets Weaken, Double Bottom Formed


ActionForex.com

Dollar Index Rebound as Risk Markets Weaken, Double Bottom Formed

Risk markets attempted to rebound earlier today on China manufacturing data but failed to sustain gain so far. Nikkei closed nearly flat after initial rise to 8830 intraday high. Dollar index is trying to form a double bottom and could head back towards 80 psychological level should risk markets pull back further. Euro is generally soft, in particular in crosses against sterling and Aussie. Positive headlines about Greece provides little support to the common currency.
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Featured Technical Report

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9140; (P) 0.9184; (R1) 0.9246; More...
USD/CHF's consolidation from 0.9114 is still in progress and is pressing 4 hours 55 EMA for the moment. Stronger recovery cannot be ruled out. But again, we'd expect upside to be limited by 38.2% retracement of 0.9594 to 0.9114 at 0.9297 and bring fall resumption. As noted before, considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, whole rebound from 0.7065 is possibly finished. Break of 0.9065 support will target 0.8567 key support to confirm the bearish case.
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Special Reports

2012 Forecast: AUD Boosted By Speculations Over Fed's QE3 In The Near-Term

The dovish January FOMC statement thrilled investors and boosted higher-yield currencies. Australian dollar was one of the beneficiaries. AUD soared against USD after the Fed pushed back the first expected rate hike to late-2014, from mid-2013 as projected in previous statements. Moreover, renewed speculations on QE3 have boosted AUD as well as other cyclical currencies. Australian dollar is expected to rise further in the near-term amid rising likelihood of monetary easing. In the medium- term, AUD will likely trade sub-parity against the USD but upside risks remain there for the commodity currency and any accommodative policy from China should help push the currency higher.
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Economic Indicators Update
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GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
0:30 AUD House Price Index Q/Q Q4 -1.00% -0.60% -1.20% -1.90%
1:00 CNY PMI Manufacturing Jan 50.5 49.6 50.3
2:30 CNY HSBC Manufacturing PMI Jan F 48.8
48.7
7:00 GBP Nationwide House Prices M/M Jan
-0.20% -0.20%
8:15 CHF Retail Sales (Real) Y/Y Dec

1.80%
8:30 CHF SVME-PMI Jan
51.3 50.7
9:00 EUR Eurozone PMI Manufacturing Jan F
48.7 48.7
9:30 GBP PMI Manufacturing Jan
50 49.6
10:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Estimate Y/Y Jan
2.70% 2.80%
13:15 USD ADP Employment Change Jan
185K 325K
15:00 USD Construction Spending M/M Dec
0.60% 1.20%
15:00 USD ISM Manufacturing Jan
54.5 53.9
15:00 USD ISM Prices Paid Jan
49.5 47.5
15:30 USD Crude Oil Inventories
3.2M 3.6M
Orders and Options Watch

European Session: Orders and Options Watch

GBP: Although the British pound continued to move higher yesterday throughout Asian and London sessions, cable retreated from the high of 1.5798 in New York also on risk aversion, speculations on expansion of QEP also put pressure on sterling and stops below 1.5745-50 were triggered, however, buy orders from Middle East and Asian names are reported further out at 1.5700 with mixture of bids and stops seen further out at 1.5640-50. On the upside, cross-related offers by funds are noted at 1.5770 and also 1.5795-05 with stops seen above 1.5810 and 1.5850. Traders are closely watching the release of UK Jan PMI manufacturing data at 09:30GMT.
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Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea: USD/CHF – Target met and buy again at 0.9170

Despite yesterday’s initial fall to 0.9123, the subsequent anticipated rebound has justified our bullishness (our long position entered at 0.9140 met indicated target at 0.9240 with 100 points profit), the subsequent breach of 0.9228-36 resistance adds credence to our view that temporary low has been formed at 0.9112 and consolidation with upside bias remains for retracement of recent decline to 0.9289
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Trade Idea: EUR/USD – Target met and look to sell again on recovery

The single currency ran into renewed selling interest at 1.3213 and tumbled from there in line with our expectations, our short position entered at 1.3180 met indicated target at 1.3080 (with 100 points profit) and the breach of indicated support at 1.3077 reinforces our view that top has been formed at 1.3233, hence consolidation with downside bias is seen for retracement of recent rise from 1.2624 to 1.3000 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement of 1.2624-1.3233) and possibly to 1.2970
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Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530
Pairs Covered: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF
Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500
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